>>93030>もう戦争じゃ勝てないThere is no strict boundary between conventional and nuclear warfare. Nuclear victory is still victory.
>真の目的はここはもうロシア領だから攻め込んできたら核使うPossibly. However, while that could be a deterrent for NATO, I don't think it will be a significant deterrent for Kiev. Just look at Crimea: Crimea was never truly Ukrainian and will never be under Kiev's control again, but the fags at the Kremlin still tolerate attacks on that territory. So even if other territories are re-integrated into Russia, I still expect Kiev to attack them and I don't expect (currently) for the Kremlin to immediately respond asymmetrically. I think that's a stupid mistake, of course. Moscow should have destroyed all political centres in Lvov and Kiev many months ago.
There are other potential reasons for the pursuit of referendums:
1: People living there have been asking to join the Federation since 2014 and have been disappointed when Moscow instead chose to trust the West and pursue the Minsk Accords.
2: Legally, Russian army conscripts (reservists in this case) cannot be deployed on foreign territory without especial permission, only the regular professional army can.
3: Maybe pressure Kiev by threatening it with the lost of further territories? At the very least Odessa and Kharkov should follow.
4: Everyone is assuming that the result of the referendums will be positive. But what if the Kremlin wants an underwhelming result as excuse to (again) abandon the rest of Novorossiya? Around politicians, never relax.
>>93033>使えるならとっくに使ってるよCorrect. And they probably should have glassed the western border already.
>狙いは徴集兵は国外に派兵できないから勝手に領土宣言してまた徴集注ぎ込むつもりなんだろMostly correct, except it is not just 勝手に, as I said above, many have been waiting 8 years for it.